Europe’s $750 Billion Promise to Buy US Energy That Nobody Needs
The EU has pledged $750 billion in US energy purchases at the exact moment its own gas demand is beginning to fall. Priced to satisfy trade negotiators rather than actual demand, the commitment risks locking Europe into fresh import dependency just as its own consumption starts to shrink.
Burden-Sharing or Burden-Shaping? Europe Rewrites the Rules of Rearmament
A United States committed to burden-sharing cannot simultaneously insist on burden-shaping.
Inside NATO 3.0: Where Europe Leads, and Where It Still Can’t
NATO’s own leadership calls it a new era of partnership, a stronger Europe within a stronger alliance. Europe is taking on more of NATO’s responsibilities and is assuming more authority within the alliance, however, it still depends on America for nearly everything that leadership runs on.
Beyond Cheap Talk? The EU’s Fragmented Turn to Indo-Pacific Security
In 2025 the EU committed to more in Indo-Pacific security than ever before. It is not clear it has the means to follow through.
The EU’s Military AI Gap: Why AGILE Will Not Be Enough
With just a 90-minute notice, the US cut off its allies from the use of its most powerful AI system. Will this be a wake up call for Brussels?
Can UK-French Nuclear Cooperation Substitute for US Extended Deterrence?
Washington’s 2026 National Defence Strategy rests conspicuously silent on the future of its nuclear umbrella over Europe. Growing Anglo-French cooperation is being framed as the continent’s most plausible fallback, though its doctrinal limits mean it still falls short of a genuine substitute.
The Procurement Mentality Undermining European Defence
Europe’s defence spending surge has a clear winner: American suppliers. National procurement decisions are undermining strategic autonomy before Brussels has finished debating it.
Europe’s Improvised Autonomy on Ransomware, Without Washington
In July 2026, the EU and Britain sanctioned Russian hackers without waiting for Washington to act first, proving that the Union can already impose costs on its adversaries. The next step is turning that proven capability into a lasting, repeatable policy.
Trial by Fire? Why NATO 3.0 Is a Speed Test for European Defence Innovation
Europe is spending more and taking on greater defence responsibility within NATO. The harder test is whether its defence ecosystem can deliver capabilities at the speed this new role demands.
Resilience Building Against Hybrid Threats: A Baltic Self-Help Guide
With NATO losing reliability, and in spite of Europe’s promises to step up security, should we be concerned about Baltic hybrid resilience, or should we learn from it? Here is what we know so far.
Between Paris and Washington: Lebanon’s Competing Security Patrons
While France retains a historical basis in its role as the main security guarantor for Mount Lebanon’s Christians, recent U.S. foreign policy strides in Lebanon have evidently challenged France’s capacity in its traditional role.
Why China Cannot be Europe’s Alternative to the US
Europe risks trading one dependency for another if it treats China as a shortcut to economic security amid U.S. trade uncertainty.
