Germany’s Zeitenwende Is Still Incomplete
Four years after Olaf Scholz proclaimed a Zeitenwende (trans. Turning Point) in German security policy, Germany is building the largest army, but not the one it needs.
Russia’s Shadow Fleet Finds a Safe Harbor
As Europe steps up boardings of Russia’s shadow fleet, Moscow is moving its tankers under the Russian flag, the one registration Europe cannot challenge at sea without confronting Russia itself.
The Race to the Moon Is Back On, And Europe Is Helping Us Get There
America is heading back to the Moon, but Europe is helping build the infrastructure that will sustain our presence there as Washington and Beijing compete over the lunar South Pole.
Which way, Germany? Why German rearmament might end up dividing Europe
German rearmament is meant to unite Europe, but unless Berlin embeds it in European structures, it risks dividing it.
Securing Arctic Connectivity Amid Great Power Competition
The European Union needs to define an Arctic Strategy that takes into account both EU digital sovereignty and security issues in the region.
A Framework for Reparations-Backed Lending, Applied to Russia’s Frozen Assets
In December 2025, the EU considered using €210 billion in frozen Russian assets to finance Ukraine but stepped back from the plan. Not because the legal case collapsed, but because nobody had priced what the instrument would actually cost and who would carry that cost if it went wrong.
That question has not gone away. It has been deferred to a debate several Member States are already working to reopen.
The EU Should Look to Singapore and New Zealand on How to Secure Supply in a Crisis
A shortage turns trade policy into a sovereignty test: who keeps exporting when the goods become scarce?
The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement: The Implications for Europe’s Energy Security
The new agreement between Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey exposes Europe to hidden Gulf energy shocks, making true economic resilience a vital priority.
The EU Cannot Win Its Eastern Neighbourhood Through Normative Power Alone
The EU’s Eastern Neighbourhood is being contested by actors who move faster, ask less, and deliver sooner, yet its policy strategy remains calibrated to a less competitive environment.
Europe’s $750 Billion Promise to Buy US Energy That Nobody Needs
The EU has pledged $750 billion in US energy purchases at the exact moment its own gas demand is beginning to fall. Priced to satisfy trade negotiators rather than actual demand, the commitment risks locking Europe into fresh import dependency just as its own consumption starts to shrink.
Progressive Bulgaria and the Paradox of Power
Has stability finally come to Bulgaria? It appeared that it might have on 19 April 2026.
Europe’s Opening in Africa’s Finance Race with China Lies in Local Value Creation
As Europe and China converge on de-risking private capital in development finance, the real contest is shifting from mobilising finance to turning it into value-chain offers built around African priorities.

