The EU Is Ceding Influence and Running Out of Time in the South Caucasus
How can the EU project real influence in a region where China, Russia, and Turkey move faster? Can Brussels balance its need for Azerbaijani gas with its own democratic principles? And what will it take for Europe to secure Armenia’s pivot to the West while preventing Georgia’s descent into authoritarian isolation?
EU Border Externalisation Is Testing the Migration Pact’s Own Human Rights Commitments
With the EU’s New Pact on Migration and Asylum now fully applicable, its pillar on embedding migration in international partnerships is testing the EU’s ability to commit to the Pact’s own human rights obligations.
From Shia Ascendancy to Sunni Resurgence: The Emerging Middle East Europe Has Little Role In
The Shia Crescent built by Iran over two decades has fractured with startling speed. What is emerging in its place is a contested Sunni resurgence, and Europe has been absent from every pivotal moment of this transformation.
Between Paris and Washington: Lebanon’s Competing Security Patrons
While France retains a historical basis in its role as the main security guarantor for Mount Lebanon’s Christians, recent U.S. foreign policy strides in Lebanon have evidently challenged France’s capacity in its traditional role.
What Would It Take For Europe To Become a Global Geopolitical Power?
What would it take for Europe to become a truly autonomous actor on the world stage? What should be the relationship between the EU and its member states? How could national governments improve the interoperability of their defence forces? And where will Europe find the necessary resources and energy supplies to power its industrial engine?
After the Iran War: NATO’s Paper Power May Not Survive a Long War
The Iran war is not NATO’s war. Yet, ahead of the 2026 Ankara Summit, it has exposed a deeper anxiety: NATO’s military capabilities may be easy to visualize, but it is evident that the alliance is not ready, both in a political and industrial sense, from the rising Russian threat.
Conditionality Built the Liberal Order. Now the West is Abandoning It
Western conditionality shaped how the liberal order worked. Beijing is exposing what’s left of it.
Rearming Europe: Following the Netherlands’ Example?
The Dutch are looking to serve as the forefront in Europe’s new era of military independence.
Iran War or Apocalypse? What Europe Should Know About Religious Geopolitics
When religion raises the stakes of geopolitical struggles, the space for diplomacy narrows.
The Populist Quagmire: The European Far-Right in the Age of Strategic Autonomy
Amidst the rise of the populist far-right in Europe, the EU must look beyond its differences and be unequivocal in its “strategic autonomy”.
War in the Middle East, Visualised
A timeline of escalation and its global impact.
With Ayatollah Khamenei’s Death, What Does the Future of Iran Behold?
On Wednesday, US President Donald J. Trump assured that the United States will stay in the fight to “finish the job”.
