8 min read — Analysis | Trump | United States | Greenland | Denmark

The Geopolitical Fallout of Trump's Arctic Ambitions: A Return to Greenland

In January 2025, President-elect Donald Trump reignited interest in acquiring Greenland, sparking opposition from EU leaders, Greenlandic officials, and analysts, while renewing debates on Arctic sovereignty, security, and geopolitics.
The Geopolitical Fallout of Trump's Arctic Ambitions: A Return to Greenland
Image Credit: Euro Prospects

By Chima M. T. Al-Saadi — International Affairs Correspondent & Social Media Director

Edited/reviewed by: Damian Wollai | Sam Volkers

January 14, 2025 | 13:00

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The Strategic Allure of Greenland

Greenland’s significance lies in its unique geopolitical position and its vast, largely untapped natural resources. Geographically, the island sits at a crossroads between North America and Europe, offering the United States a critical vantage point for Arctic operations. As climate change opens previously inaccessible trade routes, Greenland becomes even more integral to controlling strategic shipping lanes. Moreover, Greenland is endowed with substantial reserves of rare earth minerals, including neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, and terbium. These elements are critical for the production of advanced technologies such as electric vehicles, semiconductors, and military hardware, with the Kvanefjeld deposit being one of the largest globally.

Trump’s renewed focus on Greenland also stems from mounting concerns over Arctic security, with Russia expanding its military presence and China asserting itself economically in the region. In a press briefing, Trump justified his interest by stating, “We need Greenland for national security purposes… People really don’t even know if Denmark has any legal right to it, but if they do they should give it up because we need it for national security.”

European Union and Danish Backlash

The reaction from Denmark and the European Union has been swift and unequivocal. Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, as in 2019, dismissed the proposal outright, branding it “absurd” and reaffirming Greenland’s sovereignty. Speaking to DR Nyheder, Frederiksen emphasised, “The United States is Denmark’s most important ally. Greenland belongs to the Greenlandic people, and in my perspective, any discussion regarding the future of the Greenlandic population must begin and end in Nuuk.” Frederiksen’s firm stance underscores Denmark’s broader concerns about the potential erosion of its influence in the Arctic.

The European Union has echoed Frederiksen’s sentiments, with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz decrying Trump’s proposal as an attack on the principles of sovereignty and international law. He emphasised, “The principle of the inviolability of borders applies to every country—regardless of whether it is east of us or to the west—and every state must respect that, regardless of whether it is a small country or a very powerful state.” EU officials have further expressed concerns that this development could destabilise relations within NATO, as allies find themselves at odds over the future of the Arctic.

Greenland’s Position on Autonomy

Greenland’s government, which enjoys significant autonomy under Denmark’s jurisdiction, has also rejected the idea of a United States acquisition. Greenlandic Premier Múte Bourup Egede strongly reaffirmed the territory’s sovereignty, stating, “Greenland is ours. We are not for sale and will never be for sale. We must not lose our long struggle for freedom.” This outright rejection aligns with Greenland’s long–standing aspirations for eventual full independence from Denmark.

For Greenland, Trump’s proposal risks overshadowing its own efforts to assert itself as an independent actor on the global stage. While Greenland’s natural resources hold immense economic potential, local leaders remain wary of external powers exploiting these assets without prioritising the welfare of the Greenlandic people.

Potential Impacts if Greenland Were Acquired

If the United States were to succeed in acquiring Greenland, the geopolitical ramifications would be profound. Militarily, Greenland would provide the United States with a fortified base for Arctic operations, enabling better monitoring of Russian and Chinese activities in the region. The United States already maintains Pituffik Space Base in Greenland, a critical component of its missile defence system. Expanding its footprint on the island would bolster American military dominance in the Arctic, further cementing its strategic advantage.

On the economic front, access to Greenland’s rare earth minerals could reduce the United States’ reliance on Chinese imports, addressing a major national security concern. However, such development would come at a cost. Exploiting Greenland’s resources would likely exacerbate environmental challenges in one of the world’s most fragile ecosystems, raising ethical questions about prioritising economic and military gains over sustainability.

Geopolitical Risks and EU Concerns

The EU has expressed concerns regarding the potential destabilising impact of Trump’s proposal on transatlantic relations. French Foreign Minister Jean–Noël Barrot made it clear that the EU would not tolerate any threats to its territorial integrity, stating, “There is no question of the EU letting other nations in the world, whoever they may be, attack its sovereign borders.” The EU’s response emphasises the importance of maintaining strong, unified borders and protecting sovereignty against external pressures, especially in the context of geopolitical tensions that could undermine regional stability.

The potential acquisition of Greenland by the United States could encourage other nations to challenge territorial boundaries, undermining international norms. With the Arctic’s increasing strategic significance, driven by melting ice and heightened competition for resources, the EU highlights the necessity of multilateral cooperation. This approach is vital to mitigating geopolitical risks, preserving international norms, and ensuring the peaceful management of regional resources and strategic interests.

A Legacy of Controversy

Trump’s renewed interest in Greenland reflects a broader pattern in his approach to foreign policy—one that often prioritises bold, unilateral actions over diplomatic consensus. His 2019 attempt to acquire the territory was widely criticised as a diplomatic misstep, with Frederiksen at the time calling it “an absurd discussion.” By revisiting this idea in 2025, Trump risks alienating key allies and fuelling perceptions of American overreach.

This controversy also highlights the broader tensions surrounding Arctic geopolitics. As global powers vie for control over the region’s resources and strategic routes, the balance between cooperation and competition becomes increasingly precarious.

The Future of Arctic Cooperation

Greenland’s strategic and economic significance is clear, yet Trump’s interest in acquiring the island raises serious ethical and geopolitical concerns. The strong opposition from Denmark and the EU highlights broader issues related to sovereignty, international law, and the stability of transatlantic relations. In a period when Arctic cooperation is crucial, Trump’s proposal risks exacerbating divisions among global powers and impeding efforts to address shared regional challenges. Regardless of whether it is a strategic move or political rhetoric, its consequences will resonate in the Arctic for years to come.

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Disclaimer: While Euro Prospects encourages open and free discourse, the opinions expressed in this article are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or views of Euro Prospects or its editorial board.

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